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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 34.49% | 28.65% | 36.86% |
| Both teams to score 45.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.36% | 60.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.28% | 80.72% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.94% | 33.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.34% | 69.65% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.47% | 31.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.08% | 67.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 7.37% 2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.49% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.42% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.64% | 0-1 @ 12.03% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 6.95% 1-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.86% |