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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Sunderland |
| 25.16% | 24.49% | 50.36% |
| Both teams to score 53.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.54% | 48.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.4% | 70.6% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.37% | 33.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.73% | 70.27% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.74% | 19.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.01% | 50.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 7.06% 2-1 @ 6.34% 2-0 @ 3.85% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.32% Total : 25.16% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 9.58% 0-2 @ 8.79% 1-3 @ 5.26% 0-3 @ 4.82% 2-3 @ 2.86% 1-4 @ 2.16% 0-4 @ 1.99% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.05% Total : 50.35% |