Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
