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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Rochdale |
| 37.7% | 28.18% | 34.12% |
| Both teams to score 47.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.01% | 58.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.54% | 79.46% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.82% | 30.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.67% | 66.33% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.54% | 32.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.02% | 68.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.7% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.8% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 11.02% 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 6.2% 1-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.12% |