League One

League One | Gameweek 32

Feb 27, 2021 at 3pm UK

The Energy Check County Ground

Swindon
2 - 1
Northampton

Twine (45+2'), Pitman (69')
Palmer (51'), Grounds (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Watson (26')
Mills (64'), Morris (75')

Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and Northampton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Northampton Town
42.22%	26.31%	31.47%

Both teams to score 52.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.6%

52.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.92%

74.08%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.43%

24.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.94%

59.06%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.1%

30.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.81%

67.19%

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 42.21%

Northampton Town 31.47%

Draw 26.31%

Swindon Town	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 8.78% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.61% Total : 42.21%	1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.59% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 8.92% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 5.24% 1-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.47%