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Championship header 2

League One

Crewe Alexandra
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 23, 2021 at 7pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Crewe
2 - 0
Accrington

Beckles (32'), Porter (79')
Lowery (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hughes (70')
Rodgers (50')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawAccrington Stanley
48.35%24.73%26.92%
Both teams to score 54.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.88%48.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.72%70.27%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.05%19.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.9%52.1%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99%32.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53%68.47%
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 48.35%
    Accrington Stanley 26.92%
    Draw 24.72%
Crewe AlexandraDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 8.3%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-0 @ 4.46%
3-2 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 2.05%
4-0 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 48.35%
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 6.38%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.27%
1-2 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 4.14%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 26.92%

How you voted: Crewe vs Accrington

Crewe Alexandra
40.0%
Draw
60.0%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
5