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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 47.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 25.85% | 26.17% | 47.98% |
| Both teams to score 49.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.34% | 54.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.01% | 75.98% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.6% | 36.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.82% | 73.18% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% | 22.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.49% | 56.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 8.39% 2-1 @ 6.27% 2-0 @ 4.24% 3-1 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 1.56% 3-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.86% Total : 25.85% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 8.3% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 12.26% 1-2 @ 9.17% 0-2 @ 9.07% 1-3 @ 4.52% 0-3 @ 4.47% 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.88% Total : 47.97% |