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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 43.13% | 25.98% | 30.88% |
| Both teams to score 52.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.76% | 51.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.92% | 73.08% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% | 23.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.31% | 57.69% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.28% | 30.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.03% | 66.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 7.56% 3-1 @ 4.29% 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.96% Total : 43.13% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.56% 1-2 @ 7.29% 0-2 @ 5.05% 1-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 3.05% Total : 30.89% |