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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Oxford United |
| 43.03% | 26.21% | 30.76% |
| Both teams to score 52.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.78% | 52.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.07% | 73.93% |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% | 24.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.62% | 58.38% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.7% | 31.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.34% | 67.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 8.87% 2-0 @ 7.64% 3-1 @ 4.21% 3-0 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.72% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 8.76% 1-2 @ 7.24% 0-2 @ 5.09% 1-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 2.91% Total : 30.76% |