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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Oxford United |
| 23.98% | 23.42% | 52.6% |
| Both teams to score 55.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.06% | 44.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.7% | 67.3% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.29% | 32.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.73% | 69.27% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.93% | 17.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.75% | 47.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 6.24% 2-1 @ 6.16% 2-0 @ 3.49% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 2.03% 3-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.47% Total : 23.98% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 5.59% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.42% | 0-1 @ 9.87% 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-2 @ 8.73% 1-3 @ 5.75% 0-3 @ 5.14% 2-3 @ 3.21% 1-4 @ 2.54% 0-4 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.92% Total : 52.6% |