League One

League One | Gameweek 20

Feb 9, 2021 at 7pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
2 - 0
Swindon

Curtis (8'), Harrison (63' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Payne (45')

Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 16.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Swindon Town
62.68%	20.87%	16.45%

Both teams to score 51.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.91%

44.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.53%

66.47%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.53%

13.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.54%

40.46%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.02%

39.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.37%

76.63%

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 62.67%

Swindon Town 16.45%

Draw 20.87%

Portsmouth	Draw	Swindon Town
2-0 @ 10.82% 1-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 6.63% 4-0 @ 3.63% 4-1 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.98% Total : 62.67%	1-1 @ 9.9% 0-0 @ 5.38% 2-2 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.87%	0-1 @ 4.94% 1-2 @ 4.54% 0-2 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.39% 1-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.94% Total : 16.45%