Portsmouth

2 - 0

Swindon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 16.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.