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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Oxford United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 49.52% | 26.25% | 24.23% |
| Both teams to score 47.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.9% | 56.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.83% | 77.16% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% | 22.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.62% | 56.37% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.37% | 38.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.63% | 75.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 13% 2-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 9.17% 3-0 @ 4.76% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-1 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.82% Total : 49.52% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 8.34% 1-2 @ 5.88% 0-2 @ 3.97% 1-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.53% Total : 24.23% |