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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 33.19% | 29.03% | 37.78% |
| Both teams to score 44.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.94% | 62.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.22% | 81.78% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.29% | 34.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.56% | 71.43% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% | 31.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.91% | 68.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 7.08% 2-0 @ 6.16% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.22% Total : 33.19% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.02% | 0-1 @ 12.63% 1-2 @ 7.69% 0-2 @ 7.26% 1-3 @ 2.95% 0-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.77% |