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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 17.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Gillingham |
| 60.39% | 22.35% | 17.26% |
| Both teams to score 48.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.99% | 49.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.91% | 71.09% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.2% | 15.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.04% | 44.96% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.08% | 41.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.63% | 78.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% 2-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 6.03% 4-0 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-2 @ 1.21% 5-0 @ 1.18% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.11% Total : 60.38% | 1-1 @ 10.62% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.84% Total : 22.35% | 0-1 @ 5.76% 1-2 @ 4.62% 0-2 @ 2.5% 1-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.8% Total : 17.26% |