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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 30.27% | 27.67% | 42.07% |
| Both teams to score 47.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.02% | 57.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.33% | 78.67% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.35% | 34.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.62% | 71.38% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% | 27.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.39% | 62.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 6.89% 2-0 @ 5.29% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.2% Total : 30.27% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 12.27% 1-2 @ 8.47% 0-2 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 3.67% 0-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.93% Total : 42.06% |