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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 30.9% | 26.91% | 42.18% |
| Both teams to score 50.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.05% | 54.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.77% | 76.23% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% | 32.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.86% | 69.14% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% | 25.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.33% | 60.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% 2-1 @ 7.15% 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.9% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.39% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 11.38% 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-2 @ 7.73% 1-3 @ 3.92% 0-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.17% |