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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 46.85% | 26.38% | 26.77% |
| Both teams to score 49.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.14% | 54.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.85% | 76.15% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% | 23.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.61% | 57.39% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.27% | 35.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.49% | 72.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-0 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.84% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 8.36% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.61% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 4.43% 1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 1.98% Total : 26.77% |