Argentine Primera Division
Dec 8, 2025 at 8pm UK
 
Estudiantes

0-1

FT(HT: 0-0)
Palacios (62')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona 2nd Phase - Semi-finals clash between Gimnasia and Estudiantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gimnasia 0-1 Estudiantes
Monday, December 8 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Estudiantes (4-5 pen.)
Sunday, December 14 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.36%) and 1-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (10.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
GimnasiaDrawEstudiantes
29.13%28.54%42.32%
Both teams to score 44.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.6%61.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.71%81.29%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.62%37.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.84%74.16%
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31%28.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49%64.51%
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 29.13%
    Estudiantes 42.33%
    Draw 28.54%
GimnasiaDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 10.55%
2-1 @ 6.48%
2-0 @ 5.19%
3-1 @ 2.13%
3-0 @ 1.7%
3-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 29.13%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 10.72%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 13.39%
0-2 @ 8.36%
1-2 @ 8.23%
0-3 @ 3.48%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-4 @ 1.09%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 42.33%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2025 7pm
Apr 13, 2025 7.30pm
gameweek 13
Gimnasia
1-1
Estudiantes
Castro (33')
Suso (5'), Morales (29'), Pintado (47'), Fernandez (73'), Briasco (77'), de Blasis (78'), Di Biasi (78')
Gimenez Alanda (90+3')
Medina (5'), Cetre (47'), Ascacibar (72'), Meza (73'), Nunez (79'), Arzamendia (88')
Jul 28, 2024 7pm
gameweek 8
Estudiantes
4-1
Gimnasia
Ascacibar (46'), Carrillo (52', 64'), Sosa (90+6' pen.)
Perez (21'), Mancuso (62'), Benedetti (72')
Zalazar (87')
Castro (48'), Cabral (82')
Insfran (90+5')
Feb 25, 2024 10.30pm
gameweek 7
Gimnasia
0-0
Estudiantes
Mammini (17')
Rodriguez (52'), Dominguez (60'), Dominguez (60')

Perez (41'), Benedetti (90+3')
Oct 1, 2023 9pm
gameweek 7
Estudiantes
0-0
Gimnasia
Nunez (76')
Cabral (29'), Bolivar (72'), Saravia (85')