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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Sunderland |
| 30.58% | 25.97% | 43.45% |
| Both teams to score 52.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.69% | 51.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.86% | 73.14% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.03% | 30.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.73% | 67.26% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.51% | 23.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.49% | 57.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 8.53% 2-1 @ 7.24% 2-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.95% Other @ 2.99% Total : 30.58% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.27% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 10.53% 1-2 @ 8.95% 0-2 @ 7.63% 1-3 @ 4.32% 0-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.44% |