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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 60.85%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.14%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Sunderland |
| 17.15% | 22.01% | 60.85% |
| Both teams to score 49.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.24% | 47.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% | 69.95% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.69% | 41.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.17% | 77.83% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.78% | 15.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.12% | 43.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 5.56% 2-1 @ 4.63% 2-0 @ 2.46% 3-1 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.86% Total : 17.15% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 0-0 @ 6.29% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.9% Total : 22% | 0-1 @ 11.84% 0-2 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-3 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 6.18% 0-4 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.73% 2-4 @ 1.29% 0-5 @ 1.24% 1-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.3% Total : 60.85% |