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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Oxford United |
| 30.28% | 25.05% | 44.67% |
| Both teams to score 55.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.45% | 47.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% | 69.76% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% | 29.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.77% | 65.23% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.69% | 21.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.74% | 54.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 7.66% 2-1 @ 7.28% 2-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.28% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-2 @ 7.45% 1-3 @ 4.72% 0-3 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 2.9% 1-4 @ 1.82% 0-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.53% Total : 44.67% |