Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 52.89% | 24.24% | 22.86% |
| Both teams to score 51.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.43% | 49.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.4% | 71.59% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.31% | 18.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.96% | 50.03% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.74% | 36.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.95% | 73.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 9.53% 3-1 @ 5.41% 3-0 @ 5.33% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.2% Total : 52.89% | 1-1 @ 11.53% 0-0 @ 6.78% 2-2 @ 4.91% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.24% | 0-1 @ 6.88% 1-2 @ 5.85% 0-2 @ 3.49% 1-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.83% Total : 22.86% |