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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 31.47% | 27.09% | 41.43% |
| Both teams to score 49.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.54% | 55.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.35% | 76.65% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.54% | 32.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.01% | 68.99% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% | 26.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.48% | 61.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% 2-1 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.47% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 11.41% 1-2 @ 8.56% 0-2 @ 7.61% 1-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.43% |