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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 30.35% | 27.14% | 42.51% |
| Both teams to score 49.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.91% | 77.09% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.45% | 33.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.81% | 70.19% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.95% | 26.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.91% | 61.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% 2-1 @ 7.01% 2-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.41% Total : 30.35% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 11.75% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-2 @ 7.91% 1-3 @ 3.87% 0-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.18% Total : 42.51% |