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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 47.5% | 25.21% | 27.29% |
| Both teams to score 53.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.13% | 49.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.14% | 71.86% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% | 21.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.21% | 53.8% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.35% | 32.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% | 69.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 9.35% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.54% Total : 47.5% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.86% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.68% 1-2 @ 6.71% 0-2 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.55% Total : 27.29% |