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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 45.79% | 26.12% | 28.08% |
| Both teams to score 50.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.91% | 53.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.33% | 74.66% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.87% | 23.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43% | 57% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% | 33.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.61% | 70.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% 2-1 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 4.43% 3-0 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.89% Total : 45.79% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.8% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.48% 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.35% Total : 28.09% |