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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 50.16% | 24.25% | 25.6% |
| Both teams to score 54.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.93% | 47.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.69% | 69.31% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.2% | 18.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.78% | 50.22% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.49% | 32.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.96% | 69.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 8.54% 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-0 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 2.23% 4-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.24% Total : 50.15% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 6.11% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.24% | 0-1 @ 6.87% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.55% Total : 25.6% |