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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 45.55% | 26% | 28.44% |
| Both teams to score 51.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.58% | 52.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.9% | 74.1% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% | 22.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.25% | 56.74% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.89% | 33.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.3% | 69.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 9.1% 2-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 4.46% 3-0 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.05% Total : 45.55% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.6% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.4% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 4.65% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 1.85% 0-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.48% Total : 28.44% |