League One

League One | Gameweek 5

Oct 10, 2020 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
2 - 1
MK Dons

Naylor (2'), Harrison (23' pen.)
Naylor (88')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Fraser (12' pen.)
Lewington (68'), Jerome (77')

Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and MK Dons.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	MK Dons
50.48%	24.74%	24.78%

Both teams to score 52.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.17%

49.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.17%

71.83%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.25%

19.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.22%

51.78%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.31%

34.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.58%

71.41%

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 50.48%

MK Dons 24.78%

Draw 24.74%

Portsmouth	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 11.11% 2-1 @ 9.54% 2-0 @ 9.01% 3-1 @ 5.16% 3-0 @ 4.87% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.87% Total : 50.48%	1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 6.85% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.74%	0-1 @ 7.25% 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 3.84% 1-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.12% Total : 24.78%