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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 54.74% | 24.19% | 21.08% |
| Both teams to score 49.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.77% | 51.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.93% | 73.07% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.39% | 18.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.09% | 49.91% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.06% | 38.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.33% | 75.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% 2-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.17% Total : 54.73% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 6.84% 1-2 @ 5.42% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.45% Total : 21.08% |