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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 46.51% | 24.71% | 28.78% |
| Both teams to score 55.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.16% | 46.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.91% | 69.09% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.79% | 20.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.48% | 52.52% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% | 29.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.94% | 66.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 7.74% 3-1 @ 4.97% 3-0 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.83% Total : 46.51% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.05% 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.3% 1-2 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 4.4% 1-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.2% Total : 28.78% |