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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 34.28% | 26.55% | 39.17% |
| Both teams to score 52.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.3% | 52.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.66% | 74.34% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% | 29.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.86% | 65.14% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% | 26.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.55% | 61.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 5.82% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.28% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.68% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 3.75% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.16% |