Portsmouth

4 - 0

Northampton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.