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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 23.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 23.77% | 25.31% | 50.92% |
| Both teams to score 49.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.05% | 52.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.45% | 74.55% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.7% | 37.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.92% | 74.08% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.19% | 20.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.53% | 53.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 7.65% 2-1 @ 5.93% 2-0 @ 3.77% 3-1 @ 1.95% 3-2 @ 1.53% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.7% Total : 23.77% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 12.18% 0-2 @ 9.56% 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-3 @ 5% 1-3 @ 4.94% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-4 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.94% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.51% Total : 50.92% |