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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 47.36% | 26.07% | 26.57% |
| Both teams to score 49.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.2% | 53.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.73% | 75.27% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% | 22.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.62% | 56.38% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.67% | 35.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.91% | 72.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 11.89% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 8.81% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-0 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.95% Total : 47.36% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.35% 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.04% Total : 26.57% |