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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 33.17% | 25.7% | 41.13% |
| Both teams to score 54.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.64% | 49.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.6% | 71.4% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.74% | 28.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.03% | 63.97% |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% | 23.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.07% | 57.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 8.49% 2-1 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.33% 3-0 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.17% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.72% 2-2 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 9.65% 1-2 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 4.2% 0-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.13% |