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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 41.38% | 26.81% | 31.82% |
| Both teams to score 50.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.75% | 54.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.35% | 75.65% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% | 25.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.18% | 60.82% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% | 31.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32% | 68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8.61% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.37% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.17% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 5.42% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.82% |