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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 37.53% | 27.22% | 35.24% |
| Both teams to score 50.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.71% | 55.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.49% | 76.51% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% | 28.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.76% | 64.24% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% | 29.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.04% | 65.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.71% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.53% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.5% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 6.21% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.24% |