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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Oxford United |
| 41.76% | 25.92% | 32.32% |
| Both teams to score 53.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.51% | 50.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.58% | 72.42% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% | 23.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.81% | 58.19% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.63% | 29.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.65% | 65.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 4.19% 3-0 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.76% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.32% |