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Rochdale
League One | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Fleetwood Town

Rochdale
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Lund (13'), Tavares (90')
Beesley (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Saunders (77')
Hill (55'), Evans (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawFleetwood Town
27.26%26.29%46.45%
Both teams to score 49.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.8%54.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.39%75.6%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.02%34.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.28%71.72%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7%23.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75%57.24%
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 27.26%
    Fleetwood Town 46.45%
    Draw 26.29%
RochdaleDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 8.56%
2-1 @ 6.55%
2-0 @ 4.5%
3-1 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 1.67%
3-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 27.26%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 8.15%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 11.87%
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-2 @ 8.65%
1-3 @ 4.41%
0-3 @ 4.2%
2-3 @ 2.32%
1-4 @ 1.61%
0-4 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 46.45%