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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 27.26% | 26.29% | 46.45% |
| Both teams to score 49.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.8% | 54.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.39% | 75.6% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.02% | 34.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.28% | 71.72% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% | 23.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.75% | 57.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.56% 2-1 @ 6.55% 2-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.67% 3-0 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.26% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 8.15% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 11.87% 1-2 @ 9.08% 0-2 @ 8.65% 1-3 @ 4.41% 0-3 @ 4.2% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.79% Total : 46.45% |