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Championship header 2

League One

Swindon Town
League One | Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 at 3pm UK
The Energy Check County Ground
Rochdale

Swindon
3 - 1
Rochdale

Smith (4'), Grant (33'), Smith (41')
Jaiyesimi (46'), Pitman (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Keohane (90+3')
Lund (89')
Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and Rochdale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawRochdale
58.65%23.13%18.22%
Both teams to score 48.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.32%50.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41%72.58%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02%16.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.91%47.09%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.25%41.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.78%78.21%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 58.65%
    Rochdale 18.22%
    Draw 23.13%
Swindon TownDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 12.57%
2-0 @ 11.14%
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 5.75%
4-0 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 1.04%
5-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 58.65%
1-1 @ 10.98%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 4.25%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.13%
0-1 @ 6.19%
1-2 @ 4.8%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 18.22%

rhs 2.0


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