League One

Jul 3, 2020 at 7.30pm UK

Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood
1 - 4
Wycombe

Evans (4' pen.)
Connolly (45+2'), Madden (84')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Ofoborh (2'), Cairns (6' og.), Wheeler (45+3'), Samuel (57')
Jacobson (30')

Reaction

Wycombe Wanderers boss Gareth Ainsworth pictured on September 7, 2019

Gareth Ainsworth calm despite Wycombe Wanderers's thumping first-leg playoff win

Fleetwood ended the game with nine men on an awful night for the hosts.

Jul 3, 22:51

The Match

Match Report

Gareth Ainsworth's side have one foot in the Wembley final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One playoff semi-final first leg between Fleetwood Town and Wycombe Wanderers, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 46.94%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 26.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Wycombe Wanderers win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood Town	Draw	Wycombe Wanderers
46.94%	27.02%	26.04%

Both teams to score 46.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.37%

57.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.61%

78.4%

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.43%

24.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.95%

59.06%

Wycombe Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.14%

37.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.37%

74.64%

Score Analysis

Fleetwood Town 46.94%

Wycombe Wanderers 26.04%

Draw 27.02%

Fleetwood Town	Draw	Wycombe Wanderers
1-0 @ 13.05% 2-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 8.9% 3-0 @ 4.29% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-1 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.38% Total : 46.94%	1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 9.3% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 9.03% 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.65% Total : 26.04%