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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 41.04% | 26.42% | 32.54% |
| Both teams to score 52.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.46% | 52.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.8% | 74.19% |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% | 25.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40% | 59.99% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.75% | 30.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.59% | 66.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.47% Total : 41.03% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 9.13% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 5.46% 1-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 2.06% Other @ 3.2% Total : 32.54% |