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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Sunderland |
| 40.7% | 27.24% | 32.06% |
| Both teams to score 49.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.13% | 55.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.01% | 76.99% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% | 26.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.71% | 62.29% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.73% | 32.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.24% | 68.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.7% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.7% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 9.84% 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 5.56% 1-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.06% |