Sunderland
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2020 at 7pm UK
Stadium of Light

Sunderland
8 - 1
Aston Villa U21s

Wyke (15', 50'), Feeney (21'), Scowen (75'), Power (77'), Graham (82'), Dobson (84'), O'Brien (90')
Leadbitter (16'), Neill (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Vassilev (47' pen.)
Ramsey (13')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Sunderland and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 85.16%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 3.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.38%) and 1-0 (11.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.03%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 0-1 (1.85%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawAston Villa Under-21s
85.16%11.02%3.82%
Both teams to score 32.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.76%39.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.41%61.58%
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.36%6.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.35%24.64%
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
34.86%65.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.94%93.06%
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 85.14%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 3.82%
    Draw 11.02%
SunderlandDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-0 @ 15.91%
3-0 @ 14.38%
1-0 @ 11.72%
4-0 @ 9.76%
2-1 @ 6.82%
3-1 @ 6.17%
5-0 @ 5.3%
4-1 @ 4.18%
6-0 @ 2.39%
5-1 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 1.32%
6-1 @ 1.03%
7-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 85.14%
1-1 @ 5.03%
0-0 @ 4.32%
2-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 11.02%
0-1 @ 1.85%
1-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 3.82%