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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Hull City |
| 40.34% | 25.87% | 33.79% |
| Both teams to score 54.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.07% | 49.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.08% | 71.92% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.57% | 24.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.14% | 58.86% |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.84% | 28.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.16% | 63.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Hull City |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.83% Total : 40.34% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.72% 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 5.53% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.79% |