EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Fleetwood3 - 0Aston Villa U21s
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Fleetwood Town and Aston Villa Under-21s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 86.94%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 3.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 4-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.43%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 0-1 (1.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 86.94% | 9.31% | 3.74% |
| Both teams to score 39.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.98% | 30.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.76% | 51.24% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.41% | 4.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.27% | 18.73% |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.36% | 58.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.06% | 89.94% |
| Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town 86.93%
Aston Villa Under-21s 3.75%
Draw 9.31%
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 3-0 @ 13.14% 2-0 @ 12.78% 4-0 @ 10.12% 1-0 @ 8.3% 3-1 @ 7.01% 2-1 @ 6.83% 5-0 @ 6.24% 4-1 @ 5.41% 5-1 @ 3.33% 6-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 1.87% 6-1 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.44% 7-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 4.12% Total : 86.93% | 1-1 @ 4.43% 0-0 @ 2.69% 2-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.37% Total : 9.31% | 0-1 @ 1.44% 1-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.13% Total : 3.75% |


