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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 34.41% | 26.18% | 39.41% |
| Both teams to score 53.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.88% | 51.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.03% | 72.97% |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.65% | 28.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.92% | 64.08% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% | 25.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.71% | 60.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 5.73% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.41% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 9.87% 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-2 @ 6.75% 1-3 @ 3.88% 0-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.41% |