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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 33.42% | 27.19% | 39.39% |
| Both teams to score 49.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.61% | 55.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.41% | 76.59% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.91% | 31.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.58% | 67.41% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.54% | 27.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.06% | 62.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 5.83% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.9% Other @ 3% Total : 33.42% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.54% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 11.03% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.38% |