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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 49.05% | 24.79% | 26.15% |
| Both teams to score 53.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.03% | 48.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.95% | 71.05% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.01% | 19.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.83% | 52.17% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.92% | 33.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.33% | 69.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 5.09% 3-0 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 2.05% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.83% Total : 49.05% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.61% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.32% 1-2 @ 6.52% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.44% Total : 26.15% |