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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 48.22% | 26.46% | 25.32% |
| Both teams to score 47.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.94% | 56.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.86% | 77.14% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% | 23.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.78% | 57.22% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.38% | 37.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.6% | 74.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.76% 2-0 @ 9.3% 2-1 @ 9.09% 3-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.7% Total : 48.21% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 8.56% 1-2 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.67% Total : 25.32% |